Matchup orbital

8
ATL
ATL
17-8
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME

6
WSH
WSH
11-14
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
ATL wins
ATL 8 · WSH 6 (by 2)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked ATL +7pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| WSH | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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ATL17-8
ATL
11-14WSH
WSH

Recap · MLB
tlanta Braves went into Washington Nationals and beat them, 8–6.
ATL -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total cleared the 9.0 OVER by 5.0.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page


Current series
ATL wins series 3-1
ATL9@
WSH4
ATL4@
WSH11
ATL8@
WSH6today
ATL7@
WSH2Season series
ATL leads series 2-1
ATL9@
WSH4
ATL4@
WSH11
ATL8@
WSH6today
ATL7@
WSH2
WSH@
ATLupcoming
WSH@
ATLupcoming
WSH@
ATLupcoming
WSH@
ATLupcoming
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ATLupcoming
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WSHupcoming
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WSHupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
ATL -1.5
Total
9.0
High-scoring · +0.5 vs avg
Moneyline
ATL-16863%
WSH+13942%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 3 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
9.0
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 27pp · Top 4th Inning
ATL
M. Harris II
CFBatter of the game2-HR game
2-for-4 · 2 HR · 2.500 OPS

D. Fuentes
SPStarting pitcher
3.0 IP · 7 K · 4 ER · 7 H · 1 BB
WSH
J. Wiemer
RFBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-1 · 1 HR · 5.000 OPS

Z. Littell
SPStarting pitcher
6.0 IP · 1 K · 6 ER · 7 H · 2 BB
How it ended
ATL beat WSH 8-6. Olson's play in the top 4th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (27pp).
Last play
End of the 9th inning
Win probability
WSH vs ATL
Score progression
1 lead change
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactLile · homered to center (407 feet), Wood scored and García Jr. scored.
Harris II · homered to right (414 feet), Albies scored.
Olson · homered to right (376 feet), Heim scored and Acuña Jr. scored.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| WSH | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Period scoring
ATL won 3 · WSH won 2
Inn 1
Baldwin 1
Lile 3
Inn 2
II 2
Inn 3
II 1
Inn 4
Olson 3
Inn 5
Inn 6
Wiemer 1
Inn 7
Inn 8
Inn 9
Game flow · key plays
House singled to center.
ATL 8·WSH 6
+10pp
Olson homered to right (376 feet), Heim scored and Acuña Jr. scored.
ATL 8·WSH 4
−27pp
Harris II homered to left center (394 feet).
ATL 5·WSH 4
−11pp
Harris II homered to right (414 feet), Albies scored.
ATL 3·WSH 4
−17pp
Lile homered to center (407 feet), Wood scored and García Jr. scored.
ATL 1·WSH 3
+25pp
Baldwin homered to right center (391 feet).
ATL 1·WSH 0
−10pp
Team stats
ATL
Away
Stat
WSH
Home
8
Hits
11
1
Errors
1
8
Runs
6
Player box score

ATL
17-8

R. Acuna Jr.★
RF
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0

D. Baldwin★
C
OPS
2.417
H-AB
2-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1

M. Olson★
1B
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
3
HR
1

A. Riley★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

O. Albies★
2B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Harris II★
CF
OPS
2.500
H-AB
2-4
R
2
RBI
3
HR
2

M. Dubon★
SS
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Yastrzemski★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Heim★
C
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
8-33
R
8
RBI
8
HR
4
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() R. Acuna Jr.★RF | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
![]() D. Baldwin★C | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.417 |
![]() M. Olson★1B | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1.250 |
![]() A. Riley★3B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() O. Albies★2B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() M. Harris II★CF | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2.500 |
![]() M. Dubon★SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() M. Yastrzemski★LF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() J. Heim★C | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
| Team | 8-33 | 8 | 8 | 4 | — |

D. Fuentes★
SP
IP
3.0
H
7
ER
4
K
7

M. Perez
SP
IP
3.0
H
3
ER
2
K
4

D. Lee
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
0

T. Kinley
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1

R. Suarez
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
0
IP
9.0
H
11
ER
6
K
12
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() D. Fuentes★SP | 3.0 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
![]() M. PerezSP | 3.0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
![]() D. LeeRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() T. KinleyRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() R. SuarezRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 9.0 | 11 | 6 | 12 |

WSH
11-14

J. Wood★
RF
OPS
2.467
H-AB
2-3
R
2
RBI
1
HR
1

L. Garcia Jr.★
1B
OPS
1.000
H-AB
1-2
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

B. House★
3B
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Abrams★
SS
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Lile★
LF
OPS
1.400
H-AB
2-5
R
1
RBI
3
HR
1

J. Young★
CF
OPS
0.800
H-AB
2-5
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Vivas★
3B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

J. Tena★
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

K. Ruiz★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Mead
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Wiemer
RF
OPS
5.000
H-AB
1-1
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1
H-AB
11-39
R
6
RBI
6
HR
3
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() J. Wood★RF | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.467 |
![]() L. Garcia Jr.★1B | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() B. House★3B | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
![]() C. Abrams★SS | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
![]() D. Lile★LF | 2-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1.400 |
![]() J. Young★CF | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.800 |
![]() J. Vivas★3B | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() J. Tena★2B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() K. Ruiz★C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() C. Mead1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() J. WiemerRF | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5.000 |
| Team | 11-39 | 6 | 6 | 3 | — |

Z. Littell★
SP
IP
6.0
H
7
ER
6
K
1

M. Parker
RP
IP
2.0
H
1
ER
0
K
0

J. Fernandez
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
0
IP
9.0
H
8
ER
6
K
1
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Z. Littell★SP | 6.0 | 7 | 6 | 1 |
![]() M. ParkerRP | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() J. FernandezRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 9.0 | 8 | 6 | 1 |
Betting line
ATL -1.5·O/U 9·ATL -168/WSH +139