Matchup orbital
1
PHI
PHI
8-14
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME
5
CHC
CHC
13-9
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
CHC wins
PHI 1 · CHC 5 (by 4)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked CHC +9pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| CHC | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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PHI8-14
PHI
13-9CHC
CHC
Recap · MLB
hicago Cubs held off Philadelphia Phillies, 5–1.
CHC +1.5 cashed (PHI lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 7.5 by 1.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Current series
CHC win series 4-0
PHI1@CHC5todayPHI4@CHC7PHI2@CHC7PHI7@CHC8Season series
CHC lead series 3-1
CHC7@PHI13CHC10@PHI4CHC11@PHI2PHI1@CHC5todayPHI4@CHC7PHI2@CHC7PHI7@CHC8Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
PHI -1.5
Total
7.5
Defensive · -1.0 vs avg
Moneyline
PHI-10852%CHC-11253%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 2 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
7.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 16pp · Bottom 2nd Inning
PHI
J. Crawford
CFBatter of the game
1-for-2 · 1.250 OPS
A. Nola
SPStarting pitcher
4.1 IP · 5 K · 5 ER · 6 H · 4 BB
CHC
M. Ballesteros
CBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-1 · 1 R · 2.000 OPS
C. Rea
SPStarting pitcherQuality start
6.2 IP · 5 K · 1 ER · 6 H · 2 BB
How it ended
CHC beat PHI 5-1.
Win probability
CHC vs PHI
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactHapp · singled to right.
Swanson · homered to center (424 feet), Ballesteros scored and Crow-Armstrong scored.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| CHC | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 5 |
Period scoring
PHI won 1 · CHC won 2
Inn 1
Inn 2
Swanson 3
Inn 3
Conforto 1
Inn 4
Crawford 1
Inn 5
Inn 6
Inn 7
Inn 8
Inn 9
Game flow · key plays
- B2
Swanson homered to center (424 feet), Ballesteros scored and Crow-Armstrong scored.
PHI 0·CHC 4
+16pp
- B2
Amaya grounded into double play, Happ scored, Ballesteros to third, Conforto out at second.
PHI 0·CHC 1
−4pp
- B2
Conforto walked, Ballesteros to second, Happ to third.
PHI 0·CHC 0
+5pp
- B2
Ballesteros singled to right, Happ to second.
PHI 0·CHC 0
+4pp
- B2
Happ singled to right.
PHI 0·CHC 0
+9pp
- T2
García singled to center.
PHI 0·CHC 0
−4pp
Team stats
PHI
Away
Stat
CHC
Home
6
Hits
8
0
Errors
1
1
Runs
5
Player box score
PHI
8-14
T. Turner★
SS
OPS
0.200
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
K. Schwarber★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
B. Harper★
1B
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
A. Garcia★
RF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
B. Marsh★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
A. Bohm★
3B
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
B. Stott★
2B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Crawford★
CF
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-2
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
R. Marchan★
C
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
6-33
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
T. Turner★SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 |
K. Schwarber★LF | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
B. Harper★1B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
A. Garcia★RF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
B. Marsh★LF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
A. Bohm★3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
B. Stott★2B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
J. Crawford★CF | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.250 |
R. Marchan★C | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| Team | 6-33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
A. Nola★
SP
IP
4.1
H
6
ER
5
K
5
K. Backhus
RP
IP
0.2
H
0
ER
0
K
1
C. Shugart
RP
IP
2.0
H
1
ER
0
K
2
S. Johnson
SP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
2
IP
8.0
H
8
ER
5
K
10
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
A. Nola★SP | 4.1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
K. BackhusRP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
C. ShugartRP | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
S. JohnsonSP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | 8.0 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
CHC
13-9
N. Hoerner★
2B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
M. Busch★
1B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
A. Bregman★
3B
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
I. Happ★
LF
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
M. Ballesteros★
C
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
M. Conforto★
RF
OPS
—
H-AB
0-0
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
M. Amaya★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
P. Crow-Armstrong★
CF
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
D. Swanson★
SS
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
3
HR
1
S. Suzuki
RF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
M. Shaw
RF
OPS
1.000
H-AB
1-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
8-30
R
5
RBI
4
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N. Hoerner★2B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
M. Busch★1B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
A. Bregman★3B | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
I. Happ★LF | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
M. Ballesteros★C | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.000 |
M. Conforto★RF | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — |
M. Amaya★C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
P. Crow-Armstrong★CF | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
D. Swanson★SS | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1.250 |
S. SuzukiRF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
M. ShawRF | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Team | 8-30 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — |
C. Rea★
SP
IP
6.2
H
6
ER
1
K
5
H. Milner
RP
IP
1.1
H
0
ER
0
K
0
C. Martin
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
0
IP
9.0
H
6
ER
1
K
5
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
C. Rea★SP | 6.2 | 6 | 1 | 5 |
H. MilnerRP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
C. MartinRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 9.0 | 6 | 1 | 5 |
Betting line
PHI -1.5·O/U 7.5·PHI -108/CHC -112