Matchup orbital
7
CIN
CIN
14-8
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME
4
MIN
MIN
11-11
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
CIN wins
CIN 7 · MIN 4 (by 3)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked CIN +3pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| MIN | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Final play
“End of the 10th inning”
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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CIN14-8
CIN
11-11MIN
MIN
Recap · MLB
incinnati Reds went into Minnesota Twins and beat them, 7–4.
CIN -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 8.0 OVER by 3.0.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Current series
CIN wins series 3-0
CIN2@MIN1CIN5@MIN4CIN7@MIN4todaySeason series
CIN wins series 3-0
CIN2@MIN1CIN5@MIN4CIN7@MIN4todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CIN -1.5
Total
8.0
Defensive · -0.5 vs avg
Moneyline
CIN-10551%MIN-11553%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 2 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
8.0
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 58pp · Top 9th Inning
CIN
T. Stephenson
CBatter of the game
1-for-3 · 0.833 OPS
B. Singer
SPStarting pitcher
6.0 IP · 2 K · 3 ER · 5 H · 4 BB
MIN
T. Larnach
LFBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-1 · 1 R · 2.000 OPS
B. Ober
SPStarting pitcherQuality start
6.1 IP · 10 K · 0 ER · 3 H · 4 BB
How it ended
CIN beat MIN 7-4. Friedl's play in the top 9th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (58pp).
Last play
End of the 10th inning
Win probability
MIN vs CIN
Score progression
1 lead change
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactFriedl · doubled to center, Myers scored, Steer scored and Benson scored.
Martin · doubled to left, Outman scored.
Hinds · doubled to left, Benson scored and Suárez scored.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| MIN | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Period scoring
CIN won 3 · MIN won 2
Inn 1
Caratini 1
Inn 2
Inn 3
Bell 1
Inn 4
Stewart 1
Inn 5
Inn 6
Inn 7
Inn 8
Inn 9
Friedl 3
Martin 1
Inn 10
Hinds 2
Game flow · key plays
- T10
Hinds doubled to left, Benson scored and Suárez scored.
CIN 7·MIN 4
−31pp
- T10
De La Cruz scored on fielding error by left fielder Martin, Suárez safe at second on fielding error by third baseman Gray.
CIN 5·MIN 4
−28pp
- B9
Martin doubled to left, Outman scored.
CIN 4·MIN 4
+43pp
- B9
Buxton popped out to first.
CIN 4·MIN 3
−17pp
- B9
Outman doubled to right.
CIN 4·MIN 3
+30pp
- T9
Friedl doubled to center, Myers scored, Steer scored and Benson scored.
CIN 4·MIN 3
−58pp
Team stats
CIN
Away
Stat
MIN
Home
7
Hits
9
1
Errors
3
8
Runs
4
Player box score
CIN
14-8
T. Friedl★
CF
OPS
0.800
H-AB
2-5
R
0
RBI
3
HR
0
M. McLain★
2B
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
E. De La Cruz★
SS
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
2
RBI
0
HR
0
S. Stewart★
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-5
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
E. Suarez★
3B
OPS
0.200
H-AB
0-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
S. Steer★
LF
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
T. Stephenson★
C
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
R. Hinds★
RF
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
2
HR
0
K. Hayes★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
D. Myers
CF
OPS
0.333
H-AB
0-2
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
7-38
R
8
RBI
6
HR
0
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
T. Friedl★CF | 2-5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.800 |
M. McLain★2B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.650 |
E. De La Cruz★SS | 1-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
S. Stewart★1B | 0-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
E. Suarez★3B | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 |
S. Steer★LF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.650 |
T. Stephenson★C | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
R. Hinds★RF | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.650 |
K. Hayes★3B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
D. MyersCF | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
| Team | 7-38 | 8 | 6 | 0 | — |
B. Singer★
SP
IP
6.0
H
5
ER
3
K
2
C. Phillips
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1
K. Nicolas
RP
IP
1.0
H
2
ER
0
K
1
E. Pagan
RP
IP
1.0
H
2
ER
1
K
0
G. Ashcraft
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1
IP
10.0
H
9
ER
4
K
5
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
B. Singer★SP | 6.0 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
C. PhillipsRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
K. NicolasRP | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
E. PaganRP | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
G. AshcraftRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | 10.0 | 9 | 4 | 5 |
MIN
11-11
B. Buxton★
CF
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
2
RBI
0
HR
0
T. Larnach★
LF
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Bell★
1B
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
V. Caratini★
C
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
0
RBI
2
HR
0
K. Clemens★
1B
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
L. Keaschall★
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
T. Gray★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
B. Lee★
SS
OPS
0.200
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Outman★
CF
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
A. Martin
LF
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
H-AB
9-37
R
4
RBI
4
HR
0
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B. Buxton★CF | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.650 |
T. Larnach★LF | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.000 |
J. Bell★1B | 1-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.400 |
V. Caratini★C | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 |
K. Clemens★1B | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
L. Keaschall★2B | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
T. Gray★3B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
B. Lee★SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 |
J. Outman★CF | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
A. MartinLF | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2.000 |
| Team | 9-37 | 4 | 4 | 0 | — |
B. Ober★
SP
IP
6.1
H
3
ER
0
K
10
T. Rogers
RP
IP
0.2
H
0
ER
0
K
0
A. Morris
RP
IP
1.1
H
3
ER
3
K
2
G. Acton
RP
IP
1.2
H
1
ER
0
K
2
IP
10.0
H
7
ER
3
K
14
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
B. Ober★SP | 6.1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
T. RogersRP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
A. MorrisRP | 1.1 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
G. ActonRP | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | 10.0 | 7 | 3 | 14 |
Betting line
CIN -1.5·O/U 8·CIN -105/MIN -115