Matchup orbital

6
CHW
CHW
7-14
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME

7
ATH
ATH
11-10
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
ATH wins
CHW 6 · ATH 7 (by 1)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked ATH +12pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHW | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| ATH | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
What's next
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CHW7-14
CHW
11-10ATH
ATH

Recap · MLB
thletics held off Chicago White Sox, 7–6. It came down to the final possession.
CHW +1.5 cashed (ATH won by 1). Total cleared the 9.0 OVER by 4.0.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page


Current series
CHW win series 2-1
CHW9@
ATH2
CHW6@
ATH7today
CHW7@
ATH4Season series
Series tied 1-1
CHW9@
ATH2
CHW6@
ATH7today
CHW7@
ATH4
ATH@
CHWupcoming
ATH@
CHWupcoming
ATH@
CHWupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
ATH -1.5
Total
9.0
High-scoring · +0.5 vs avg
Moneyline
CHW+13543%
ATH-16362%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 2 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
9.0
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 31pp · Bottom 7th Inning
CHW
M. Murakami
1BBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-2 · 1 HR · 2.800 OPS

E. Fedde
SPStarting pitcher
4.2 IP · 3 K · 3 ER · 2 H · 4 BB
ATH
N. Kurtz
1BBatter of the gamePerfect day
2-for-3 · 1 HR · 2.500 OPS

L. Severino
SPStarting pitcher
5.1 IP · 3 K · 5 ER · 5 H · 4 BB
How it ended
ATH beat CHW 7-6. Kurtz's play in the bottom 7th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (31pp).
Win probability
ATH vs CHW
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactBenintendi · homered to right (372 feet), Peters scored and McGuire scored.
Kurtz · homered to right (386 feet), Langeliers scored.
Acu · ña singled to center, Benintendi to third.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHW | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| ATH | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
Period scoring
CHW won 1 · ATH won 5
Inn 1
Inn 2
Benintendi 3
Wilson 1
Inn 3
McNeil 1
Inn 4
Inn 5
Soderstrom 1
Inn 6
Butler 1
Inn 7
Murakami 1
Kurtz 2
Inn 8
Inn 9
Inn 10
Inn 11
Muncy 1
Game flow · key plays
Pereira struck out swinging.
CHW 6·ATH 6
+19pp
Acuña singled to center, Benintendi to third.
CHW 6·ATH 6
−31pp
Gelof reached on bunt single to pitcher, Hernaiz to third.
CHW 6·ATH 6
+21pp
Kurtz homered to right (386 feet), Langeliers scored.
CHW 6·ATH 6
+31pp
Murakami homered to center (415 feet).
CHW 6·ATH 4
−21pp
Benintendi homered to right (372 feet), Peters scored and McGuire scored.
CHW 5·ATH 0
−25pp
Team stats
CHW
Away
Stat
ATH
Home
8
Hits
10
0
Errors
0
6
Runs
7
Player box score

CHW
7-14

A. Benintendi★
LF
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-6
R
1
RBI
3
HR
1

M. Murakami★
1B
OPS
2.800
H-AB
1-2
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1

M. Vargas★
3B
OPS
0.333
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Montgomery★
SS
OPS
1.400
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1

E. Pereira★
RF
OPS
0.900
H-AB
2-5
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

S. Antonacci★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Meidroth★
2B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

T. Peters★
CF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
0-1
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

R. McGuire★
C
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0

L. Acuna
CF
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Hill
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
8-38
R
6
RBI
6
HR
3
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() A. Benintendi★LF | 1-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0.833 |
![]() M. Murakami★1B | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.800 |
![]() M. Vargas★3B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
![]() C. Montgomery★SS | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.400 |
![]() E. Pereira★RF | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.900 |
![]() S. Antonacci★LF | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() C. Meidroth★2B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() T. Peters★CF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() R. McGuire★C | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() L. AcunaCF | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.000 |
![]() D. HillRF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 8-38 | 6 | 6 | 3 | — |

E. Fedde★
SP
IP
4.2
H
2
ER
3
K
3

S. Newcomb
RP
IP
1.1
H
3
ER
1
K
0

J. Leasure
RP
IP
1.0
H
2
ER
2
K
0

B. Hudson
RP
IP
1.0
H
2
ER
0
K
2

S. Dominguez
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1

J. Hicks
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
0

L. Sims
RP
IP
0.2
H
0
ER
0
K
0
IP
10.2
H
10
ER
6
K
6
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() E. Fedde★SP | 4.2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
![]() S. NewcombRP | 1.1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
![]() J. LeasureRP | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
![]() B. HudsonRP | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
![]() S. DominguezRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() J. HicksRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() L. SimsRP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 10.2 | 10 | 6 | 6 |

ATH
11-10

J. McNeil★
2B
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

S. Langeliers★
C
OPS
0.900
H-AB
2-5
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

N. Kurtz★
1B
OPS
2.500
H-AB
2-3
R
1
RBI
2
HR
1

T. Soderstrom★
LF
OPS
0.533
H-AB
1-5
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

J. Wilson★
SS
OPS
1.167
H-AB
2-6
R
2
RBI
1
HR
1

C. Cortes★
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Muncy★
3B
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0

L. Butler★
RF
OPS
0.933
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0

A. Wynns★
C
OPS
0.200
H-AB
0-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

Z. Gelof
CF
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Ibanez
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Clarke
CF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
10-39
R
7
RBI
7
HR
2
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() J. McNeil★2B | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
![]() S. Langeliers★C | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.900 |
![]() N. Kurtz★1B | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2.500 |
![]() T. Soderstrom★LF | 1-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.533 |
![]() J. Wilson★SS | 2-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.167 |
![]() C. Cortes★RF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() M. Muncy★3B | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.400 |
![]() L. Butler★RF | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.933 |
![]() A. Wynns★C | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 |
![]() Z. GelofCF | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.000 |
![]() A. Ibanez2B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() D. ClarkeCF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| Team | 10-39 | 7 | 7 | 2 | — |

L. Severino★
SP
IP
5.1
H
5
ER
5
K
3

H. Harris
RP
IP
1.1
H
1
ER
1
K
0

J. Kuhnel
RP
IP
1.1
H
1
ER
0
K
0

M. Leiter Jr.
RP
IP
0.2
H
0
ER
0
K
1

J. Perkins
RP
IP
2.1
H
1
ER
0
K
3
IP
11.0
H
8
ER
6
K
7
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() L. Severino★SP | 5.1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
![]() H. HarrisRP | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
![]() J. KuhnelRP | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() M. Leiter Jr.RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() J. PerkinsRP | 2.1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Team | 11.0 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
Betting line
ATH -1.5·O/U 9·CHW +135/ATH -163