Matchup orbital

CIN

5

CIN

CIN

13-8

Final

Win prob

52/48

AWAY · HOME

MIN

4

MIN

MIN

11-10

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CIN wins

CIN 5 · MIN 4 (by 1)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked CIN +2pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
CIN0101001115
MIN2010100004

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

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MLBGame · Sat, Apr 18Final
CIN

CIN13-8

CIN

@

11-10MIN

MIN

MIN
SeriesCIN wins series 3-0VegasMIN -131

Recap · MLB

incinnati Reds went into Minnesota Twins and beat them, 5–4. It came down to the final possession.

CIN +1.5 cashed (MIN lost outright). Total cleared the 8.0 OVER by 1.0.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
CIN
CINWIN13-85
FINAL
MIN
MIN11-104

Current series

CIN wins series 3-0

Apr 18CINCIN2@MINMIN1
Apr 18CINCIN5@MINMIN4today
Apr 19CINCIN7@MINMIN4

Season series

CIN leads series 2-0

Apr 18CINCIN2@MINMIN1
Apr 18CINCIN5@MINMIN4today
Apr 19CINCIN7@MINMIN4

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

MIN -1.5

Total

8.0

Defensive · -0.5 vs avg

Moneyline

CINCIN+10948%
MINMIN-13157%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗

Line movement · 3 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

8.0

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowCIN ↔ MIN

Biggest swing: 29pp · Top 9th Inning

CINCIN
D. Myers

D. Myers

CF

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS

A. Abbott

A. Abbott

SP

Starting pitcher

4.2 IP · 3 K · 3 ER · 6 H · 3 BB

MINMIN
R. Kreidler

R. Kreidler

3B

Batter of the game

1-for-2 · 1.250 OPS

T. Bradley

T. Bradley

SP

Starting pitcher

6.0 IP · 5 K · 2 ER · 5 H · 2 BB

How it ended

CIN beat MIN 5-4. Myers's play in the top 9th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (29pp).

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

MIN vs CIN

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

CIN5
MIN4

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
MINBottom 1st Inning · 0-2
+16pp→ 84% WP

Jeffers · tripled to center, Martin scored and Bell scored.

CINTop 8th Inning · 3-4
+19pp→ 48% WP

Lowe · singled to right, Suárez to third.

CINTop 9th Inning · 5-4
+29pp→ 83% WP

Myers · singled to center, Steer scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
CIN0101001115
MIN2010100004

Period scoring

CIN won 5 · MIN won 3

0
2

Inn 1

Jeffers 2

1
0

Inn 2

Stephenson 1

0
1

Inn 3

Keaschall 1

1
0

Inn 4

Stephenson 1

0
1

Inn 5

Lee 1

0
0

Inn 6

1
0

Inn 7

Cruz 1

1
0

Inn 8

Hinds 1

1
0

Inn 9

Myers 1

CIN
MIN

Game flow · key plays

  1. T9

    Myers singled to center, Steer scored.

    CIN 5·MIN 4

    −29pp

  2. T9

    Steer singled to left.

    CIN 4·MIN 4

    −10pp

  3. T8

    Stephenson struck out swinging.

    CIN 3·MIN 4

    +13pp

  4. T8

    Lowe singled to right, Suárez to third.

    CIN 3·MIN 4

    −19pp

  5. T7

    De La Cruz singled to left, Hinds scored, Myers to second.

    CIN 3·MIN 4

    −10pp

  6. B1

    Jeffers tripled to center, Martin scored and Bell scored.

    CIN 0·MIN 2

    +16pp

Team stats

CIN

Away

Stat

MIN

Home

11

Hits

9

1

Errors

0

5

Runs

4

Player box score

CIN

CIN

13-8

5
T. Friedl

T. Friedl★

CF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

W. Benson

W. Benson★

RF

OPS

1.167

H-AB

1-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

E. De La Cruz

E. De La Cruz★

SS

OPS

0.400

H-AB

1-5

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

S. Stewart

S. Stewart★

1B

OPS

0.650

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

E. Suarez

E. Suarez★

3B

OPS

1.000

H-AB

2-4

R

2

RBI

0

HR

0

N. Lowe

N. Lowe★

1B

OPS

1.000

H-AB

2-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

T. Stephenson

T. Stephenson★

C

OPS

0.667

H-AB

1-3

R

0

RBI

2

HR

0

R. Hinds

R. Hinds★

RF

OPS

0.667

H-AB

1-3

R

1

RBI

1

HR

0

K. Hayes

K. Hayes★

3B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

D. Myers

D. Myers

CF

OPS

2.000

H-AB

1-1

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

S. Steer

S. Steer

LF

OPS

2.000

H-AB

1-1

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

11-34

R

5

RBI

5

HR

0

A. Abbott

A. Abbott★

SP

IP

4.2

H

6

ER

3

K

3

S. Moll

S. Moll

RP

IP

0.1

H

1

ER

0

K

1

P. Johnson

P. Johnson

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

2

B. Burke

B. Burke

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

1

K. Nicolas

K. Nicolas

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

3

T. Santillan

T. Santillan

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

2

Team total

IP

9.0

H

9

ER

3

K

12

Betting line

MIN -1.5·O/U 8·CIN +109/MIN -131

DraftKings · via ESPN